Mandatory Payout Alert: Charles Town (Wed, Nov 12)

Charles Town’s Jackpot Pick 6 (the “6-12”) is a confirmed must-pay tomorrow with a $104,383 carryover (12% Charles Town course takeout). This is much smaller than the Parx Big 5 we crushed yesterday—Parx’s carryover was $472,821 (15% Parx course takeout). The final pool swelled to a little over $1.1M.

Pool & Payout Outlook (estimate for tomorrow)

• Projected total Pick 6 pool: ~$300k–$500k (carryover + new money on a mid-week card). Historical Charles Town mandatories with similar carryovers have produced a player edge due to the low 12% takeout.

• What a winning ticket could be worth: very sequence-dependent, but on a typical Charles Town must-pay, expect low five figures if form holds (~$8k–$20k range) and higher if we catch one or two price races.

Play / Pass ⚠️
Rating: Cautious / Small-Stake (2.5/5). With a six-figure carryover but modest Charles Town handle, the upside is meaningfully lower than Parx’s mandatory. If we do participate, we’ll selectively leverage singles where we have conviction, otherwise keep coverage tight rather than allocate major bankroll.